Weekend Warriors: Wells Fargo Championship

       Every week, the Weekend Warriors picks article will have some brief course notes, statistics to focus on, and four players to build your core around. Additional stats used in this article are from FantasyGolfMetrics.com and FutureOfFantasy.com which are both tremendous resources.

Make sure to check out our partners at FantasyDraft. They’ve just posted their PGA CHAMPIONSHIP LIVE FINAL, a $20,000 guaranteed event that takes place at Quail Hollow.

Remember, you can find more of my picks in my Going for the Green article over in the FantasyDraft Locker Room.

THE COURSE

COURSE: Check out details on the course HERE

CUT LINE: Field of 156 golfers, top 70 and ties play the weekend.

THE STATS

  1. Strokes Gained: Approach
  2. Good Drive %
  3. Scrambling
  4. Driving Distance
  5. Par 5 Scoring

THE WEEKEND WARRIORS

Warrior #1: Dustin Johnson

(FantasyDraft – $20500, DraftKings – $13000)

Picking the world’s number one golfer isn’t exactly taking a shot in the dark but it does come with a bit more risk when he’s priced $2000 more than anyone else in the field. Last time we saw DJ he was walking off the first tee box at Augusta after withdrawing due to injury. The back is still an unknown factor but with the strength of this field Dustin is clearly the favorite this week. Outside of being number one in the world, statistically DJ is the strongest in the field as well.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach – 8th, .856
  • Good Drive % – 1st, 89.39%
  • Scrambling – 20th, 65.31%
  • Driving Distance – 1st, 316.2
  • Par 5 Scoring – 1st, 4.45

It may be easy to forget since a month has gone by since DJ was last on the course, but he’s won the last three events he’s played in. Needless to say Mr. Gretzky is on another level right now and I fully expect it to continue this week.

 

Warrior #2: Daniel Berger

(FantasyDraft – $16300, DraftKings – $8300)

Daniel heads to Eagle Point looking to make some money on top of the 6k he finally collected from Ben Crane last week. If you didn’t hear that story or see the public shaming Crane received on twitter then you certainly missed out on the fun. This week, Berger is the 10th highest ranked golfer in the field in terms of OWGR however his salary has him at just the 18th most expensive. Vegas also has him at 33 to 1 which would make him the eighth favorite, so we can’t pass up to opportunity to exploit his salary.Berger is 9/13 on the season with five top 25s and three top 10s.

Looking across this week’s key stats and we see Daniel is incredibly consistent.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach – 77th, .251
  • Good Drive % – 66th, 84.64%
  • Scrambling % – 24th, 65%
  • Driving Distance – 53rd, 296.0
  • Par 5 Scoring – 49th, 4.61

Although this tournament was held at a different course the last two times around, Berger has shown he can play well in the Carolina’s bringing home finishes of 17th and 28th each of the last two years. At $8300 it’s hard to pass up a player of Berger’s caliber, especially in a field that isn’t exactly strong.

 

Warrior #3: Hudson Swafford

(FantasyDraft – $14800, DraftKings – $7700)

Swafford collected his first career victory earlier this year at the CareerBuilder Challenge which also happened to be the end of an impressive consecutive cut streak. Three straight missed cuts followed the victory but Hudson quickly jumped back into form collecting two straight top 10s before the Masters. The last individual event Swafford participated in was the Masters where he missed out on the weekend, but that isn’t unusual for an Augusta rookie.

This week there is a lot to like about Hudson’s game and how it relates to Eagle Point. Swafford is plenty long off the tee for the wet conditions that are expected; he currently sits 14th in Driving Distance averaging over 304 yards. Also to the Swafficer’s benefit is his ability to score on the par-5s; his 4.53 scoring average is 11th on Tour. Perhaps the biggest reason I like Swafford this week is his knack for putting on Bentgrass greens. Hudson gains over a stroke more on Bentgrass greens then he does on their Bermuda counterparts. In fact, he’s 25th best in the field on Bentgrass surfaces. Swafford shouldn’t see a lot of ownership this week but he’ll be a cornerstone in most of my lineups.

 

Warrior #4: Luke List

(FantasyDraft – $14500, DraftKings – $6900)

May be a fool for going back to List after the recent missed cuts but he’s just too hard to ignore on a course where distance and par-5 scoring will be pivotal. The only player on Tour who is better in both categories is Dustin Johnson. Before the missed cuts in the last two events List had been lights out; he was 12/15 with seven top 25s and three top 10s.

List is among the elites on Tour in terms of his tee-to-green game but the question always lies with his putter. Good news is that despite missing the cut at the Valero Texas Open, List actually gained strokes on the field on the greens. If Luke can remain average with the putter and bring back his excellent tee-to-green game then he should be in for a good week.

 

TOTAL SALARY REMAINING: $11300 per golfer on FantasyDraft; $7050 per golfer on DraftKings.

 

For more FantasyDraft friendly picks be sure to check for my “Going For The Green” article over in the FantasyDraft Lockerroom

 

Josh Burkett

From Portland, Maine to Austin, TX in search of anything sports. First love was racing, spending my summers bouncing from track to track across the country. Lifelong New York Rangers, New England Patriots, and Boston Red Sox fan. Follow me on twitter @GWBuffalo7.

greatwhitebuffalo7 has 29 posts and counting.See all posts by greatwhitebuffalo7

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