Breaking Down Today’s Trades

The NBA Draft takes place tomorrow, but today we were blessed with a couple big trades to break down. It is tough to know the fantasy impact of these players because we don’t know what other moves will be made. For the most part, there isn’t a big fantasy impact with today’s trades, but there is some stuff to be noted.

Jeff Teague– This is an interesting move for the Pacers as they intend to move from a slower paced, defensive team to a fast-paced offensive threat. Teague fits nicely as a floor general, but being a ball dominant guard will clash with the likes of Monta, Stuckey, and Paul George. Teague isn’t terrible on defense but it is a big drop from Hill who was one of the best defensive point guards in the league last year. I am not a huge fan of this trade, mostly because if they can’t get Teague to sign an extension, he will walk after this season.

Teague averaged 15.7 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game last season but he only played 28.5 MPG. I could easily envision him taking over a role where he plays 32-34 MPG this season, but I don’t think we will see better numbers this season just because he is playing bigger minutes. With Teague gone, of course, it opens up the position for DFS wunderkind Dennis Schroder! Schroder wasn’t a huge threat offensively last season without Teague, but he did average just over 13 points, 8 assists, and 4 rebounds per game when he started over Teague. With more minutes and another year in the system, this could be a breakout year for Dennis the Menace.

George Hill– The Jazz took a huge step in securing their future with this trade. They traded a lottery pick away to bring in an experienced PG who is a lockdown defender, and a solid 3PT shooter. I absolutely love this signing, and having him in Utah will boost the fantasy value of everyone around him. We know from his time in Indy that Hill himself doesn’t offer much DFS upside, but having a veteran on the floor to help direct Favors, Hayward, Gobert, and Hood will be huge for them. This also means that rostering anyone playing against Utah will be a terrible idea.

This move doesn’t move the needle from a fantasy perspective on Hill.

Derrick Rose–  It is the end of the Derrick Rose era in Chicago, and this should be great news for Bulls fans. They get rid of a guy that has been plagued by injuries, they get out from his $24.5M cap hit, and they finally get to unleash Jimmy Butler. The Knicks moved Lopez, Grant, and Calderon away to bring in Rose who, if healthy, could be a decent compliment to Carmelo and Kristaps. Rose isn’t the Rose we all remember, as he hasn’t posted a net positive season in 4 years and he hasn’t played a full season since the 2011-12 season, but a change of scenery could be good for him. For the Knicks, Rose does bring a quality PG to the team, and they hope that he can stay healthy enough put them in the playoffs this season.

From a fantasy perspective it is tough to say what value he will have. If Rose continues his play from the last 49 games of last season-he averaged 17.3 pts on 44.9% shooting-he could represent some solid DFS value. Hornacek will look to bring an up-tempo offense to New York, so his ability to push the floor and finish could be just what the Knicks need.

This does open up the floor for Chicago to unleash Jimmy Buckets. Butler was outstanding last season without Rose, averaging 27.7 PPG, 7.2 RPG, and 7 APG. Butler will be a favorite in cash games this season.

Robin Lopez–  RoLo should move in to the starting role for Chicago if Gasol and Noah leave, and he brings instant double-double ability to the court. Lopez struggled at times to fit in his role with the Knicks, but he performed well when he got the time on the floor. Lopez brings a toughness in the paint that the Bulls lacked with Gasol, so there is hope they will improve defensively in that aspect. Lopez averaged 13.7 PPG and 9.8 RBG in 27.1 MPG last season. His minutes should go up with the Bulls, and he will be a great go-to play at center most nights.

Jerian Grant– Grant is a young and talented PG that the Bulls can put next to Butler in the starting backcourt. Grant struggled to find the court last season because Fisher buried him on the bench, but he flashed some potential in his limited court time. He averaged 5.6 PPG, 4.1 RBG, and 5 APG the entire season, but that went up to 10.7 PPG in games where Calderon didn’t start. My hope with Grant is that Chicago starts him over Calderon. If they do, he should be a cheap option to use as a PG/G most nights.

Jose Calderon– Calderon looks to be just a filler piece in this trade, as the Bulls would be better off letting Grant start alongside Jimmy Buckets. Calderon averaged 7.6 PPG, 4.1 RBG, and 5.3 APG last season, so he doesn’t offer much in the way of fantasy value. The Bulls would be smart to use Calderon off the bench, and as someone to mentor Grant.

 

Brent Heiden

Brent has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years now and made the transition over to DFS about two years ago. He is an avid NBA fan and enjoys looking at the sport from an analytical point of view. He is a cash game grinder but has enjoyed a lot of success in GPPs over the past two seasons, including a top-10 finish in the RotoWire MLB Championship. He has been writing MLB, NBA, and game theory articles for dfsdatalytics.com since it was founded. You can find him on Twitter @BrentHeiden1 and find all his articles on dfsdatalytics.com.

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