Throughout the year the DFS Datalytics Team will be giving you our “Stars of the Night”. These are the guys we feel will exceed expectations and provide value to your lineups regardless of their price.
Stars of the Night
Adam Daly: W – Rickard Rakell (ANA)- $6,400 DK, $5,800 FD
Rickard Rakell has been absolutely lights out since finally signing a contract in mid-October and starting his season in November – 11 goals and six assists in 19 games, and Rakell is averaging 17:17 of ice time/game. That ice time these days is spent on the first line along with Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry, which is a recipe for success; in his last 10 games Rakell has played 86% of his TOI with Getzlaf and Perry, and has popped in 5G-2A. Further, Perry himself has contributed on seven of Rakell’s points.
Tonight Rakell matches up against the Boston Bruins who are playing their sixth game in nine days, on a back-to-back after an overtime loss to Pittsburgh last night when they fired 44 shots on goal. That should set up for the Ducks to face Anton Khudobin in the Bruins’ crease which is the ideal matchup.
Khudobin is sporting a dismal 0.888SVP on the season, with two of his five starts qualifying as “Really Bad Starts”. At 5v5, Khudobin is awful when facing High-Danger shots, letting in six on 27 shots (77.78% saved). Those are the types of close-in shots that Rakell thrives on, which makes his matchup excellent with Khudobin between the pipes.
There aren’t any great referee matchups tonight that can lead to extra power plays, but the Ducks-Bruins game has the second best on the slate with Dan O’Halloran and Ghislain Hebert wearing the stripes tonight; O’Halloran hands out the 13th most power plays per game.
One of the caveats about stacking Rakell and the thing that should help move ownership off of him is that Rakell doesn’t play on the first power-play unit with his EV linemates. Instead, he finds himself on the second unit with Antoine Vermette and Jakub Silfverberg. Vermette could be a very low-owned player to pair with Rakell, as the two have combined on five of Rakell’s 17 total points. The Swedish winger only gets 1.8 minutes/game on the power play, but has MASSIVE upside with the extra man, with a PPPts/60 rate of 8.5/60. This is unsustainably high, as is his shooting percentage of 20.4 (all situations), but there’s nothing wrong with riding a hot hand who got a lot of extra rest before the season.
Rakell works best as a single bullet, paired with Perry and/or Getzlaf, paired with Vermette and/or Silfverberg, or Josh-stacked with all of the above for the bold.
Adam Jazdzewski: D – Anthony DeAngelo (ARI)- $4,300 DK, $3,800 FD
Well Hamilton didn’t get it done yesterday but I’m going back to the well with a D-man tonight, but it’s not going to be a high priced one. This one will allow you to fit in the lines you want! The Yotes Anthony DeAngelo is back in the lineup and will see somewhere between 18-20 minutes. In his last two games he has a goal, six shots and four blocked shots. If I know anything about tonight’s set of games, it’s that Mike Smith and the Yotes will be under siege.
This game projects as the highest pace of the night (119.3) and the Leafs project for 63 of those. Presumably DeAngelo will stand in front of some of at least a few shots. If he unleashes even 2-3 of his own he will have a solid floor. Toss in the fact that he’s been seeing top power-play time with OEL and he’s a very solid play at a cheap price on defense. Some smart players will own him, especially on FanDuel where he’s particularly cheap. This could easily be a 5-4 game. DeAngelo should easily meet value especially if he hits the score sheet.
Chris Morais: G – Connor Hellebuyck (WPG)- $7,700 DK, $8,100 FD
Let me start off by saying that Jake Allen is my top goalie play tonight, but if you don’t want to follow the pack, Connor Hellebuyck is the next best option.
The Jets goaltender has had his ups and downs this season (10-10-1, 2.70 GAA, .907 SV%), but he’s played much better at home (7-4-1, 2.36 GAA, .907 SV%) and the Florida Panthers are ranked 26th in GF/GM (2.30).
When Hellebuyck is off his game, it’s usually really bad (two negative outings in the last seven starts), but when he’s on his game, nothing gets past him (42-save shutout against Nashville). He’s a mixed bag of emotions, but all signs point to the Jets picking up an easy two points, which is good news for fantasy owners.
The Jets will have to go up against veteran Roberto Luongo, but their offence should be able to squeak a couple past him by the end of the night.
Hellebuyck’s price tag is much more friendlier on FanDuel, so if you’re building a GPP lineup over there, he should be your top goalie option. Like I mentioned earlier, Allen is going to be a popular play tonight, and there’s nothing wrong with that, but if you want to move away from the pack, you know what to do.