Premier League Previews: Matchday Fourteen
Manchester City v Chelsea
A massive game on the grand scale of the Premier League as the league leaders travel to face a team just one point behind. From a fantasy perspective, the game is rendered pretty meaningless due to start time. Kevin De Bruyne ($9,200 DK) and Sergio Aguero ($9,400 DK) are still fully capable of substantial contribution, but in terms of the entire Saturday slate you can find options in better match ups.
Crystal Palace v Southampton
Palace owns the worst form in the entire Premier League losing their last six. With that in tow, Southampton does host some desirable targets. Cedric Soares ($4,900 DK) and Steven Davis ($4,300 DK) rank among the best values on DraftKings. Davis’s usability assumes both Tadic and Ward-Prowse do not start, thrusting Davis onto corner kicking duties. If Ward-Prowse ($4,500 DK) starts, he would be even more valuable than Davis due to his more comprehensive offensive exploits in addition to picking up corner kicks. On FanDuel, Virgil van Dijk ($6,200 FD) represents one of the better defensive options, partly due to Crystal Palace’s inability to defend set pieces and his outstanding ability in the box. Southampton has been inefficient in front of goal this season, and while I do expect them to score, the Crystal Palace keeper – likely Wayne Hennessey ($4,600 DK; $5,700 FD) – is a top option on both sites given his price and save upside.
Stoke v Burnley
Stoke should have a lot of possession here and with Burnley now without their normal goalkeeper in Tom Heaton, their upside is that much higher. The obvious name here is Xherdan Shaqiri ($7,800 DK), who is one of the premier plays on DraftKings due to his crossing ability and duties over free kicks. On FanDuel, Joe Allen ($7,800 FD) may actually be the better play as in addition to his offense (4 goals and 2 assists) he contributes more well-rounded with some defensive and possession stats boosting him up. Erik Pieters ($5,100 FD) has been great in the FanDuel format, on the defensive end.
Sunderland v Leicester
If Marc Albrighton doesn’t start, I give a slight bump to Riyad Mahrez ($8,500 DK) on DraftKings picking up some additional corners. On the whole, this game is difficult. Leicester are the deserved favorites, but the rotation of strikers through the lineup has made it really difficult to pinpoint anyone.
Tottenham v Swansea
Tottenham are the most likely winners on the day and a good place to target a number of players. Christian Eriksen ($8,400 DK; $9,400 FD) is the first guy in my lineup on DK, as he appears to have regained the great majority of all corners and free kicks – and with that, seemingly, his form. His goal last out against Chelsea was his first Premier League goal of the season. In terms of likely goal scorers, Harry Kane ($8,700 DK; $12,700 FD) is the most likely to scorer and should be treated as such. I wouldn’t discount either Son ($7,000 DK; $7,900 FD) or Dele Alli ($7,600 DK; $8,800 FD), but both are very much volatile GPP plays. On FanDuel, Mousa Dembele ($6,200) stands as a value midfield option most every week through his two-way contributions. On the defensive front, Danny Rose ($5,300 DK; $6,000 FD) is a top option due to his offensive contributions. I’d consider Hugo Lloris ($5,800 DK) on DraftKings with ‘Win’ bonus, but lacks the upside to be worth his price on FanDuel.
West Brom v Watford
Extremely low goal projection here and really no one worth targeting.
West Ham v Arsenal
Alexis Sanchez ($9,700 DK; $12,800 FD) is my highest projected player on both sites, however you’ll be paying for it. Olivier Giroud ($7,700 DK; $9,200) is a difficult scenario. On FanDuel, you have to know there’s a solid chance he won’t end up starting. In a $3 GPP, could that risk be worth it? On DraftKings you can pivot, it won’t be easy as there are many great options in that range, but at least you won’t be risking a zero. Santi Cazorla is out indefinitely, which likely means Mesut Ozil ($9,000 DK) becomes the lone corner take and gives a boost to his floor. The re-introduction of Arthur Masuaku ($4,000 DK) looks ready to come back into the fray and despite the difficult matchup is worth a look as a reasonably priced defender.
Bournemouth v Liverpool
In terms of Sunday-Monday, load up on Liverpool. Divock Origi ($6,400 DK) is the likely replacement for Coutinho (who’s out for at least a month) and immediately moves into being a great play. Sadio Mane ($8,900 DK) and Roberto Firmino ($9,000 DK) are once again great plays, it’ll be interesting to see how the production is doled out sans Coutinho. Jordan Henderson ($5,600 DK) could be a contender to pick up some corners and free kicks. James Milner ($6,800 DK) has the highest floor on the slate while maintaining his corner and penalty kick duties.
Everton v Manchester United
Antonio Valencia ($4,800 DK) has returned and is a premier defensive play. Everton is home here, and despite being the dogs, I think their offense should be appreciated. I’d look at Yannick Bolasie ($7,700 DK) as the top option from Everton. The goal equity in this spot simply isn’t high enough for me to target Lukaku. Zlatan Ibrahimovic ($8,600) hasn’t been very efficient this season, but his league lead in shots is indicative of his relatively solid floor considering he’s a striker and a superior option in comparison to Lukaku. Henrikh Mkhitaryan ($6,200 DK) has steadily been making more of a presence and picked up an assist in the EFL Cup at midweek – if he starts, a good place to look for more affordable exposure to this game.
Middlesbrough v Hull
Like West Brom and Watford, this match has a low goal projection. However, if you’re playing the Sunday-Monday you may need to have some access here. Fabio ($4,000 DK) has just taken over left-back duties for Middlesbrough and is priced reasonably for a fullback. I don’t want to chase any goals here. In fact, Middlesbrough is tied with Tottenham for having the best opportunity to pick up a clean sheet bringing Victor Valdes ($5,400 DK) into play.