On Deck – June 30th

We had a three game early slate today leaving us with eight games for tonight’s contests. There are some decent pitchers taking the hill tonight so let’s try to find some bats to help fill out those MLB DFS rosters. I will more than likely be paying up at catcher tonight for Ramos because I don’t like any of the other options.

1B Ryan Zimmerman- There are times throughout the season where I will ignore a players high ownership percentage in GPP’s because the matchup is just too good to pass up and Zimmerman fits that bill tonight. The Nationals will be one of the highest owned stacks of the night which will increase Zimmerman’s ownership percentage but I am okay with that. Brandon Finnegan will be the opposing pitcher taking the mound for the Reds and I fully expect him to get knocked around early and often in this one. When the Nats take on a left handed pitcher you need to take a hard look at Zimmerman who has a .433 wOBA, .367 ISO and a .677 SLG vs lefties. He is 1 0f 24 at home vs LHP with a single which is a little concerning but Finnegan is a gas can and he should be able to fight himself out of this slump he’s in.

Control issues have bothered Finnegan all year with a 4.21 BB/9 and that is not something you want to have when playing the Nationals because they can string some hits together and be all over you before you even know it. His 36.1% HH rate also spells trouble and his 1.38 HR/9 vs RHB is sure to see an increase tonight. Look for Zimmerman to find his groove and put up a respectable amount of DKpts.

2B Ian Kinsler- I think most of the Tigers players will be under owned and that might be a huge mistake. For just $4,100 you can get an elite second basemen who is batting .295 on the year with 14 home runs. The other options that are priced above Kinsler tonight are: Carpenter, Schoop, Kipnis and Cano who I could all see being higher owned than Kinsler. He hits Right handed pitching almost as well as he does against lefties so we don’t need to discriminate against his splits. Detroit will be going up against Jake Odorizzi in Tampa where he has a 1.96 HR/9 vs right handed batters. That is not a good thing to have when you are going up against a righty heavy power lineup like the Tigers. Kinsler not only hits for power but he is smart on the base paths, hits for average and his 47 RBI shows that he gets plenty of run scoring opportunities. Even at a price tag of $4.1k I still see a lot of value in Kinsler tonight.

3B Kyle Seager- Power is king for hitters in MLB DFS and that’s what we get with this pick. Seager has 15 home runs on the year with eight of them coming vs right handed pitchers. Seager has a 42.1% HH rate vs RHP as well as a .367 wOBA and a .222 ISO. Seattle is at home vs the Orioles; since lineups for the west coast games don’t get released till a hour or so before lock I am hoping that Seager goes over looked in a good spot. Tillman on the other hand has been good at times this year but is coming off of two rough starts in a row vs the Blue Jays. His 4.30 BB/9 could spell trouble for him facing a dangerous left handed lineup. The more walks you allow the more chances the opposing team gets to put up some runs against you and I’m hoping that Seager does just that. Tillman has a 1.37 HR/9 allowed to lefties which isn’t that bad but it’s not great either. I’m not sure if I will stack against Tillman but I know for a fact that I will have some shares of Seager.

SS Javier Baez- It’s hard to find value at short stop tonight, there are a handful of strong options but after that the talent drops considerably. Baez is coming off of two straight starts where he put up 20 DKpts in each of those games. Matz is not a pitcher that I want to pick on but he is coming off some discomfort in his elbow that is caused by bone spurs. There is no way to predict how well he will pitch or how that elbow will feel but if I need a mid tier SS this is where I will probably go. His .431 wOBA vs LHP is good for 1st at his position tonight and I’m hoping that he gets his third straight 20 DKpt game.

OF Steven Moya- I will continue to use this guy at this price ($2,600) for as long as DraftKings keeps him priced there. With three home runs in his last four games he is one of the hottest batters coming into tonight and is a near minimum priced play. If you are paying up for both your pitchers then Moya should be considered a must play. He has a .363 wOBA to go along with a .250 ISO vs RHP and seems to be really seeing the ball well right now. We touched on Jake Odorizzi in the Kinsler pick vs right handed hitters but he is quite a bit better vs lefties with a .268 wOBA against but that doesn’t scare me. Moya is too cheap to pass up and he just might return the highest value per dollar tonight. Lock him into your lineups to free up some much needed cap space.

 

Aaron Fischer

I am the Lead Baseball Analyst at DFS Datalytics. As a kid I grew up playing all four major sports, some organized at times and some not so organized. I have always been interested in stats and what they mean to each sport and individual player. I started playing fantasy fantasy football 14 years ago and I transitioned to DFS about four years ago. I specialize in NHL and MLB but I play all DFS sports on a regular basis. I am on twitter @fish84. #DataForWinning

mnwild84 has 54 posts and counting.See all posts by mnwild84

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