Get in the Cage: Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Picks and Analysis

Welcome to another edition of Get in the Cage for DFS statistics, everyone. This season of The Ultimate Fighter will conclude this Saturday night in the main event. Tim Elliot has proven to be the best of the Ultimate Fighter. He has now earned his chance to face reigning Flyweight Champion, Demetrious Johnson. Johnson is regarded as arguably the greatest pound for pound fighter in the UFC today. The Ultimate Fighter coaches, Joseph Benavidez and Henry Cejudo too will face off in what should be an exciting match-up. Let’ win some money this weekend, shall we?

It’s time to Get in the Cage. Good luck to all playing.

Under Card:

Dong Hyun Kim (13-8-3) vs Brendan O’Reilly (6-2) – Lightweight (155 lbs)

DK Salaries: Kim – $8,300 / O’Reilly – $7,900

Vegas Odds: Kim -125 / O’Reilly +105

Odds to Finish: -120 (o 2 ½)

Dong Hyun Kim is a dangerous fighter with some very heavy hands. He showcased this in his last fight against Marco Polo Reyes, stunning him multiple times throughout the fight. Kim also showcased a tremendous chin. He ate a lot of heavy shots early on in that fight would not give in. He won fight of the night honors and will look to do it again this weekend. Kim appeared to be fine with standing. I doubt his opponent will be coming at him like his last one did. Kim too has very solid Judo. He will need to be careful and not punch himself out like he did back at UFC 199. Kim will be looking for a knockout this weekend.

Brendan O’Reilly is 1-2 since entering the UFC a little over two years ago. O’Reilly was controlled in the clinch up against the cage for much of the first round against Alan Jouban before getting TKO’d. Kim showed to control Reyes while in the clinch. O’Reilly being finished in the first round worries somewhat when he will be facing the hands of and chin Kim. This fight has the potential to be another fight of the night performance. This will be another tough test for O’Reilly here. There are no noticeable advantages in the height or reach departments, though Kim should have a distinctive advantage in terms of power. The only way I see O’Reilly winning this fight is if he is able to utilize his wrestling and grind out a decision. He is an impressive 7/14 take down attempts. Otherwise, I think Kim will end this one early. Kim will be a great tournanment play if he is able to find his range and throw. O’Reilly will be more of a 50/50 play.

Fight Prediction: Kim – Rd 2 KO

Elvis Mutapcic (15-4-1) vs Anthony Smith (25-12) – Middleweight (185 lbs)

DK Salaries: Mutapcic – $8,100 / Smith – $8,100

Vegas Odds: Mutapcic +100 / Smith -120

Odds to Finish: -180 (o 1 ½)

Elvis Mutapcic will be making just his third UFC appearance this weekend. He has been left win-less as he sports a 0-1-1 in his first two. Mutapcic has been unimpressive thus far from what I have seen. He has finished 12 of his 15 professional victories. Mutapcic has submitted seven opponents and knocked out five. Granted, Kevin Casey has a dominant top game, but Mutapcic was not able to muster any sort of offense from off his back in his last fight. heavy shots, however. He was able to evade When he was able to remain on the feet, he exhibited solid clinch work, throwing both knees and punches. He has not yet attempted a take down since entering the company. Mutapcic showed off solid conditioning as well in that fight, where he was eventually able to get on top and mount the fading Casey. He should have the advantage in that respect.

Anthony Smith will have some significant advantages this weekend. He will have a four inch height as well as a five inch reach advantage in Vegas against the Bosnian. Smith is 3-4 in his time with the UFC and Strikeforce. Smith is a stand-up fighter having only attempted a total of five take downs in this time. However, his take down defense is highly questionable coming into this fight. Smith has only defended 33 percent of the take downs attempted on him. This will be Smith’s third fight this year after having not fought since 2013 previously. He has 14 first round finishes to his credit. Smith has gotten much more technical during this time as well, biding his time and choosing his shots carefully. This fight, I believe will remain on the feet for its majority. If Smith wants to get it to the ground, Mutapcic did not show he can defend them too well in his previous fight. I will tentatively side here with Mutapcic and his clinch work.

Fight Prediction: Mutapcic – Split Decision

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Rob McGeorge

Lead MMA / NFL Analyst for DFS Datalytics. I have been watching MMA since 2008 and playing fantasy sports since 2012. Follow me on Twitter @CornontheRob12

rob-mcgeorge has 35 posts and counting.See all posts by rob-mcgeorge

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