Gameday Notes: Thursday November 19th

Odds: St. Louis -206, Montreal -193, Pittsburgh -175 are currently the biggest favorites on the night

Schedule: Washington is playing back to back after their overtime win in Detroit last night. Anaheim is playing three games in four nights and St. Louis is playing its 4th in six nights. Everyone else is rested. The Minnesota Wild are playing tonight’s only getaway game in Boston. 

Goalies: Reto Berra is back in net for the Avs after he finally blew up .

Mike Condon is confirmed already tonight for the Habs. Carey Price’s return appears imminent. This might be Condon’s last start for a while. The luster has worn off of him a bit but he’s done a great job as a fill in for the reigning MVP and Vezina winner. 

Expect to see Braden Holtby back in net for the Caps. He’s already turned into a work horse. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 70 starts from him. He’s said he feels comfortable getting in a rhythm playing night after night. 

No other surprises are expected. Goalie Post is my go to site for this. 

Line Changes: The Ducks have been rearranging the deck chairs past few nights beyond the first line of Rakell-Getzlaf-Perry. The GPP play here is technically the third line of Hagelin-Horcoff-Cogliano. There is alot of speed in this line, which could lead to a breakaway or two especially considering they’ve played alot of shorthanded minutes. One bad pass could end up in the back of the net. I’m not saying go nuts and stack them everywhere, but take one or two of them and you could fit in who you want at that point.

I’m getting conflicting information about the Boston lines. The Krejci line is intact. The Bergeron line will either have Marchand and Hayes on the wings or Beleskey and Connolly.  I’m sure the news will break on twitter sometime throughout the day if this is a route you want to go. 

The Jackets will go with a second line of Calvert-Foligno-Atkinson with Dubinsky out. 

Sasha Barkov is back for the Panthers. He looked really good early in the year with Huberdeau and Jagr on his wings. Lets see if the Panthers can get some of that magic back. Bjustad back on the second line gives the Panthers two decent scoring lines. Some value here if you want to go against the Ducks. 

Torrey Mitchell is now in the revolving right win spot on Montreal’s second line. Alex Semin just isn’t cutting it. They’ve tried to fit Devante Smith-Pelley in there, but that hasn’t worked either. The Habs have been getting alot of mileage out of the 3rd line. Galchenyuk seems to be the guy left out in this process. Lines one and three are doing a great job and Galchenyuk is stuck on the line doing nothing but riding the bench.

Brayden Schenn has moved to the top line for the Flyers. He’s a better option than Michael Raffl. 

Outside of the Steen-Backes-Tarasenko line in St. Louis, nothing seems to be set in stone. It’s a crapshoot after that. Jaskin-Lehtera-Paajarvi will at least be starting the game as the second line. I’d like to see Fabbri get some time with Lehtera, but I dont make this decisions.

The Lightning are not only struggling, but they are now a total mess with injuries. Palat, Johnson, Callahan, Drouin and Paquette are all out. Stamkos is back at center with Namestnikov and Kucherov on his wings. Filppula centers line two with Killorn and Marchessault on the wings. 

Backstrom is back with Ovi. He’s almost broken the record twice. Is tonight finally the night at home against Dallas? Maybe if they keep Justin Williams off the ice on the power-play. 

The Ghost: I wrote about this earlier in the year in terms of Colton Parayko. Sometimes a value is just too good to pass up, even if you expect his ownership to be 50% or higher.I was watching Shayne Gotisbehere very intently on Tuesday night. With Mark Streit out of the lineup, the Ghost has taken up all of his power-play time. The matchup against the Sharks isn’t tremendous but they’re prone to giving up some goals, with 27 allowed through ten road games already this season. The Ghost will be in every single one of my DraftKings lineups today. If you want to risk the minus potential he’s a great play on FanDuel too. 

Ownership:  I’m expecting to see very high ownership rates for Tarasenko and Malkin with Paciroetty coming in 3rd. Keep that in mind when building lineups, especially GPP’s

Note on Projections: The highest projected value line from last night was the Jets second line. If you played them, especially with the Kane line in Chicago you made out very well last night. Check the projections out for yourself

Twitter: If you haven’t already I’m on there a bunch @LedgerSko

Adam Jazdzewski

I am the founder and owner of DFS Datalytics. I've been stats minded even as a kid. I used to write down my own stats in NHL '95, I've played season long fantasy sports since the mid 90’s and have made the jump to DFS three seasons ago. I specialize in NHL and NASCAR. Catch my on twitter @LedgerSko and @DFSDatalytics #DataForWinning

ledgersko has 223 posts and counting.See all posts by ledgersko

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